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Another Analyst Report Has Good Predictions for Microsoft

April 7, 2011 No Comments

We previously reported that research firm Ovum predicts that Windows Phone 7 will be one of the top three smartphone OS’s by 2016 and IDC put them at number two by 2015. Analyst firm Gartner has now released their research statistics on the smartphone marketshare. According to Gartner and as we should all expect Android will be the not only be the top worldwide smartphone OS by years end, they will command close to half of the worldwide market by the end of 2012.

Fear not my Windows Phone buddies. While Windows Phone 7 is the newest OS, Gartner predicts that it will have the second biggest marketshare  by 2015.

Gartner predicts that Nokia will push Windows Phone well into the mid-tier of its portfolio by the end of 2012, driving the platform to be the third largest in the worldwide ranking by 2013. Gartner has revised its forecast of Windows Phone’s market share upward, solely by virtue of Microsoft’s alliance with Nokia. Although this is an honorable performance it is considerably less than what Symbian had achieve in the past underlying the upward battle that Nokia has to face.

While coming second to Androids expected dominance, it is still a great feat. Windows Phone 7 is the newest OS of the bunch. It still has to overcome the stigma left behind by Windows Mobile. There is a lot of work to be done and if done swiftly and correctly who knows what their numbers will predict for 2016.

Table 1
Worldwide Mobile Communications Device Open OS Sales to End Users by OS (Thousands of Units)

OS 2010 2011 2012 2015
Symbian 111,577 89,930 32,666 661
Market Share (%) 37.6 19.2 5.2 0.1
Android 67,225 179,873 310,088 539,318
Market Share (%) 22.7 38.5 49.2 48.8
Research In Motion 47,452 62,600 79,335 122,864
Market Share (%) 16.0 13.4 12.6 11.1
iOS 46,598 90,560 118,848 189,924
Market Share (%) 15.7 19.4 18.9 17.2
Microsoft 12,378 26,346 68,156 215,998
Market Share (%) 4.2 5.6 10.8 19.5
Other Operating Systems 11,417.4 18,392.3 21,383.7 36,133.9
Market Share (%) 3.8 3.9 3.4 3.3
Total Market 296,647 467,701 630,476 1,104,898

Source: Gartner

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